WorldPolitics: Scenario 2012-2013
| Content |
| Introduction………………………………………………………………………………………………………..4 |
| 1. The Fiscal Compact: The Centre of Gravity in the new EU?…………………………………8 |
| 2. Germany: Hegemonic v. Eurosceptic ……………………………………………………………….12 |
| 3. Central Europe: Between Centre and Periphery ………………………………………………..16 |
| 4. EU and Turkey: The Role of Cyprus Presidency ………………………………………………..20 |
| 5. The EU-China Partnership: The Bride for Sale Scenario? …………………………………..23 |
| 6. America after the Election: Grand Strategies v. Structures and Resources ……………28 |
| 7. Iran: The Endless Crisis? …………………………………………………………………………………32 |
| 8. Bahrain: The Geopolitics of Upheaval ……………………………………………………………..36 |
| 9. Afghanistan: Retalibanization or Civil War? …………………………………………………….40 |
| 10. Asia-Pacific Area: Strains and Hopes ………………………………………………………………43 |
| 11. The Presidential Election in Russia: Three Variations ………………………………………47download at http://www.iir.cz/upload/Scenare/Scenarios_12-13.pdf |
| ©2012 ALL RIGHTS RESERVED THE AUTHOR(S) AND THE PUBLISHERby Centre for International Security |
| Ondřej Ditrych, editor |
| Vít Beneš |
| Mitchell A. Belfer |
| Mats Braun |
| Jan Eichler |
| Rudolf Fürst |
| Vladimír Handl |
| Nik |
| Hynek |
| Michal Kořan |
| Petr Kratochvíl |
| Lucia Najšlová |
| Vít Střítecký |
| Tomáš Weiss |
| Institute of Internationa Reations, Nerudova 3, 118 50 Prague 1 |
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