Tactical Warning : WAR 2012 (as Prosumerzen is telling since ever) by Paolo Dealberti
According to a Panel of 76 among the top world class specialists run by Foreign Policy , ( Vol 192 April/May 2012) :
a) Al Qaeda is a yesterday´s terrorism problem ,(Erik Dahl), that has lost the war of ideas among Muslims ,( Kori Schake), but still alive as an organizational concept for other groups ,(Thomas Keaney)
COMMENT : we agree on that and since ever Prosumerzen is telling that. We agree with what Prof. Azar Gat ,(Ezer Weizman Professor of National Security at Tel Aviv University), wrote on … 2007 . For us AQ is over since long time. But we agree that some groups can always strike and ,mabye, one day also achieve some WMD´s.
b) The Christian extremism, ( George Perkovich)
COMMENT : We are more than happy that such prestigious Panel tells what Prosumerzen is telling since long time about the christian fundamentalism (and about the neo nazi fundamentalism)
c) A weak China, ( Kristin Lord)
COMMENT : Prosumerzen is full of articles that magnify how China is an over-credited superpower that is only a regional power less strong than we are used to suppose and we agree on that
We agree also about the fact that the Pentagon must rethink and reduce its costs ,also something we are telling since ever :
- The F35 ,( for example)
COMMENT: Also in this case something we are telling since ever and we can only agree with with Thomas H. J. Johnson, Paul Kapur, Barry Posen ,Peter W. Singer when they tell ” a trillion dollars for a new fighter when we have had only one fighter shot down by an enemy fighter in 40 years ,is a sheer waste”
As we in Prosumerezen tell this is also valid also for who is selling that China is overcoming the USA as military superpower… of course we kindly remember to them that :
I) only 3 countries in the world have a global deployment capability and deep blue water power : the USA, the UK, France. A boat Chinese Gulf of Aden makes not the difference and we kindly remember that if China has a boat Japan has an air-naval base in Djibouti. The same for 3 Iranian vessels in the Mediterranean … vessels not able to win even against the Malta´s navy. A division of the French Legion deployed to fight thousands miles away from home is, for exampe, a seriuos example of real power projection. Can China do the same ? Not at all for at least 10 years … .
II) China can sign contracts anywhere in the world to buy commodities but if the US Navy blocks the sea lines how can Beijing import it ?
III) the LSMSC ,( land-space-maritime-skies-cyber),environment id dominated by the USA and it will be for a long time. Chinese and Russian hackers can menace and strikes dissidents but only the USA ,( and Israel), were able to create Stuxnet . Or do we have forgot a pipeline in Siberia ,it was in June 1982 … . Today China and Russia are a bit better placed in term of “social net-war” but ,even ,after what in Estonia ,( 2007), and in Georgia,( 2008),the USA are always the leader both in term of cyber-war and cyber-sabotage
About that Pentagon bloat :
- The US Special Operations Command
COMMENT : we agree with Edward N. Luttwak but our reasons are also others as we wrote and they are linked to the evolution to the imperial elected democracy . Inside this contest we agree with the Straftor´s CEO and his evaluation about the evolution of the Presidential power of war. But we are beyond it as we will write in Westphalia XXI ,(our internet magazine about the trends between NSA´s and SA´s)
But we want to add something and this is about the drones.
For Micah Zenko, (CFR), to run a drone the Pentagon needs a team of 168 people when a F16 needs one of 100 but a Global Hawk drone costs 15 ml US$ and a F16 55 ml US$.
In the last decade drones made around 300 strikes killing more then suspected terrorists and an unknown numbers of innocent civilians,( we esteem not less than 5.000). That means ,on average, one strike each 12 days in a 10 years long period and this in Afghanistan, Libya,Pakistan,Iraq,Yemen,Somalia. Today the Pentagon has around 7.500 drones ,( they were 50 a decade ago),and the worldwide spending for such weapon will double in the next decade.
This technology will be owned either by SA´s and NSA´s actors even if for long time only the USA will have a reaction time of 10 minutes once a target is tracked.
The drone are starting a revolution that will be magnified by a weapon like EM Railmachine and it will affect not only the US approach about the war abroad but also our vision of the warfare and of the society.This will affect not only technology and strategy.
The Obama administration claimed the right to kill also American citizens and that happened for the 1st time with Anwar al-Awak. This is not at all a surprise but ,as we in Prosumerzen are telling, only a normal and logic evolution inside the trends of relations between NSA´s and SA´s. We agree on that and we consider it as part of the right of defense of a political structure, ( the SA´s ), against others, ( some but not all the NSA´s). Long time ago Global Trend 2025 forecast it and in Iraq GI-men fought against US private securities forces, ( a form of NSA). About that last but not least under the second Bush Jr ´s presidency that US Navy Academy in Annapolis started a course of strategy about the killing of American citizens and the attacking of American multinationals that are against Washington.
The drones are now over the American as well as Western skies.
We forecast , ( mid 2012- end 2013),the use in the USA as well as worldwide to kill US Citizens as well as to target objectives run/owned by American multinationals that belong to NSA´s against Washington.
We do not forget that the biggest terror attack in the US soil after 9/11 was made by christian militants fundamentalists and we forecast , ( mid 2012 – end 2013),the utilization of drones in the US territory in areas that the militias are using to train and hide. Logically not only in order to track and to spy but also to also to kill them.
Paolo Dealberti ©2012 ALL RIGHTS RESERVED
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