Geopolitics : the week ahead

EUROPE
■Feb. 27: The German parliament will vote on the Greek bailout package.
■Feb. 27: EU foreign ministers will discuss Serbia’s EU candidacy and sanctions on Syria during a meeting in Brussels.
■Feb. 28-29: Students in the Czech Republic are expected to stage protests against a planned university reform.
■Feb. 29: The European Central Bank will conduct its second three-year refinancing operation.
■Feb. 29: Pilots from the Spanish airline Iberia are expected to join ground and cabin staff in a 24-hour strike to protest company plans to introduce a new low-cost airline.
■Feb. 29: The European Trade Union Confederation is scheduled to hold an anti-austerity protest across the European Union.
■March 1: Three Italian trade unions are expected to hold a four-hour transport strike.
■March 1-2: EU head of states are expected to meet in Brussels. The top item on the agenda will be the second Greek bailout program.

Russia
■Feb. 27: The European Union and Armenia will negotiate a Visa Facilitation Agreement and a Readmission Agreement in Yerevan.
■March 1: The Belarusian consulate in Daugavpils, Latvia, and the Latvian consulate in Vitebsk, Belarus, will begin to issue permits for visa-free travel under an interstate local border traffic agreement.
■March 1: About 20,000 people are expected to attend protests in Osh, Kyrgyzstan.
■March 2: Argentine Foreign Minister Hector Timerman will visit Azerbaijan to discuss bilateral relations.

MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA
■Feb. 27: Qatar will continue to host a conference to defend the status of Jerusalem.
■Feb. 27: Abd Rabboh Mansour Hadi will be inaugurated as the new Yemeni president.
■Feb. 28: Turkey will begin exploratory natural gas drilling in the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus.
■Feb. 28: The results of the Egyptian Shura Council election will be announced.
■March 2: Iran’s parliamentary elections will be held.

EAST ASIA
■Feb. 27-March 1: South Korean Unification Minister Yu Woo-ik will continue his visit to Germany and Belgium to discuss relations between South Korea and North Korea with European leaders.
■Feb. 27: Former Australian Foreign Minister Kevin Rudd will challenge Australian Prime Minister Julia Gillard for leadership of the Labor Party in a vote.
■Feb. 27-March 5: Singapore’s armed forces and air force will conduct land and sea military exercises.
■Feb. 27-28: World Bank President Robert Zoellick will continue his visit to Beijing to present the new World Bank China growth report.
■Feb. 27-28: Japanese and U.S. officials will meet to discuss the realignment of U.S. troops stationed in Okinawa. This is the second such meeting since Feb. 6 and will be led by Takeo Akiba, deputy director of Japan’s North American Affairs Bureau, and U.S. Deputy Assistant Secretary of State for East Asian and Pacific Affairs Jim Zumwalt.
■Feb. 28-Feb. 29: Colombian Foreign Minister Maria Angela Holguin will visit China, where she will meet with Vice Premier Li Keqiang and other Chinese officials to discuss bilateral relations.
■March 2: Chinese Foreign Minister Yang Jiechi will meet with South Korean Foreign Minister Kim Sung-hwan in Seoul to arrange an agenda for an upcoming summit meeting between Chinese President Hu Jintao and South Korean President Lee Myung Bak.

AMERICAS
■Unspecified date: Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez will have a lesion in his pelvic region operated on in Havana, Cuba.
■Unspecified date: Peru’s government will publish the Strategic Production Sector Multiannual Plan for 2012-2016.
■Unspecified date: Chile will temporarily close its borders with Peru to certify that landmines displaced by rains and flooding have been cleared out.
■Unspecified date: The Mexican Senate will receive the U.S.-Mexico accord for oil field development along the countries’ borders.
■Feb. 27: Brazilian telecommunications company Oi will vote on a corporate restructuring.
■Feb. 28: Mercosur delegates will meet to discuss new products and rates of the common external tariffs.
■Feb. 28: A Maritime Shipping Sector Dialogue meeting between the European Union and Brazil will take place in Brasilia.
■Feb. 29: Peru and Ecuador will hold their fifth bilateral meeting that will focus on reducing poverty.
■Feb. 29: Russia and Guatemala will install a visa-free travel regime. Citizens from either country will be able to visit the other for up to 90 days without a special permit.
■Feb. 29: The Honduran economic plan with the International Monetary Fund will expire. A new program for the next two to three years will be planned.
■March 1: Minimum pension wages will rise in Argentina.
■March 1: Peru’s free trade agreement with Japan will go into effect.
■March 1: General Confederation of Labor of the Argentine Republic head Hugo Moyano will hold a rally in Buenos Aires to commemorate the declaration of workers’ rights.
■March 1: Anti-mining protesters in Argentina will conduct a series of mobilizations across country with as major centers La Rioja and Catamarca.
■March 4: Israeli President Shimon Peres will meet with U.S. President Barack Obama in Washington.

AFRICA
■March 1: The joint Ethiopian, South Sudanese and Kenyan Lamu Port-South Sudan-Ethiopia Transport Corridor project will break ground

Source : Stratfor http://www.stratfor.com