In India France wins and Germany loses …by Paolo Dealberti
The Eurofighter Typhoon, a fighter plane developed by a consortium of four European aviation companies –the German and Spanish branches of EADS, Britain’s BAE Systems and Italy’s Finmeccanica.
The Rafale is developed by Dassualt.
In a EU where Sarkozy and Merkel are loosing as not capable to be the leaders that the EU need it is always important to understand who is the leading force.
We have told long time ago that the “leading duo” is composed by London and Paris instead of Berlin and Paris.
And we confirm it.
From a financial point of view three of the six ,(I),leading actors that dominate the world of the financial engineering products,( they control around 95% of the markets), are based in London and one of them ,( The Royal Bank of Scotland),is directly controlled by the British Government. In other terms Premier Cameron has a lot more DIRECT influx on the markets than Chancellor Merkel .
From a geopolitical point of view what happened with Libya explained that either the EU and the NATO can go ahead “despite Berlin and this is the long lasting consequence of the intervention.
About a monetary point of view Chancellor Merkel failed to include the NSA´s ,( private banks), in the funds to support the EU countries and must ask help to the IMF . It is hard to describe it as a leading role. Additionally the Eurobond is starting to gather consensus also in Germany where a leading bank like Commerzbank was downgrade last week,(II). Her populism,(III), has lost any appeal.
And about India ?
India is carefully playing its cards. In the next 10 years with investments of around 100 billion US$ in weapons is one of the biggest markets in the world. We have told months ago that Russia ,( MIG),and Germany ,(Eurofighter), will never win and this despite the fact that Chancelor Merkel personally went to India only to promote the selling of the fighter ,(IV).
Our forecast was about an American jet but ,at least, for this first round, India wants to send a signal and the decision is the Rafale. We are sure that this will increase the Indian bargain power with the USA,
It is normal to diversify the supplying of high-tech weaponry and when a country has the money the price is the last variable to be considered. Before and mot important is to have a supplier that can be also a powerhouse able to internationally support the buyer. We can describe it as the “soft power dimension” inside the weapons trading.
In this case ,again, Paris wins against Berlin.
In India they consider that in the international arena it is better to have as supplier ,(that can be a “friend”), Paris instead of Berlin.
A lot to think about also in the EU, is it ?
Where we all …lose…