Tactical Warning : Iran and Syria
1) Iran :
a- senior figures of the inner circle of the President Ahmadinejad are arrested for corruption
b- Rabhar Imman Kahmenei had changed the chief of the security by-passing the authority of President Ahmadinejad
c- several MPS are asking his demission
d-since 11 days President Ahmadinejad boycotts any public assembly /meeting
About point “d” : it is clear that President Ahmadinejad fells not save to move inside Teheran. “Something” can happen and it will be easy to blame the CIA -&-Mossad and the world is full of useful “believers” ready to support the boring version of the “global complot”.
Prosumerzen was always prudent about the fact that the Iranian trend toward the “bomb” was irreversible. Now we wonder what it will be if the pressure to President Ahmadinejad will increase … .
Who controls the Country ?
The Alawite minority, (12% of the population and one of the Shiite families of belief ), is well aware that can maintain its power only and only if it will support the Assasd´s clan (, by the way they belong to this clan).
- President Assad´s brother ,Mashaar, seems to be the rising star. He commands the Presidential Guard and the 4th Tank Division.
This division is almost the only operative tank division of the army,based near Damascus,composed by Alawites,the real backbone of the security structure of the country and the responsible of the killings in Daara.
Other two “stars” are the brother- in- law, (chief of the intelligence), and the cousin ,( the legendary “Mr 10%” because any businesses can run only if the 10% is paid to him).
The West can offer to Assad a way to survive if he accepts to go ahead with the reforms and face the security apparatus.
But Mr Assad is also aware that he exists only because of the apparatus.
The opposition is important but face problems to gather more participants.
We mentioned it two months ago and we consider that there is some link with what is going on in Teheran.
More in the next days
Prosumerzen Intelligence Team